458
FXUS65 KVEF 281647
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
945 AM PDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

*  Anomalous, early-season heat will continue through early next
   week.

*  A pattern shift should bring near normal temperatures, breezy
   winds, and precipitation chances by the middle-to-end of next
   week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Through Friday.

Expect a few more days of hot temperatures before a cooldown arrives
next week. Most of our climate sites broke daily high temperature
records yesterday, including Las Vegas, which has now broken or tied
daily high temperature records for ten days straight. More records
should fall through the weekend as temperatures remain 15 to 20
degrees above normal - see the CLIMATE section below for details.
Besides heat, a couple of disturbances moving along the ridging
pattern will lead to an increase in southwesterly winds in the
afternoon today and tomorrow. Gusts should be between 15 and 30 mph
for most of the region.

A pattern shift occurs next week as a series of troughs move into
the Pacific Coast and the ridge subsides. Temperatures will decrease
10 to 15 degrees between Sunday and Wednesday, leaving highs within
a few degrees of normal for early April on Wednesday and Thursday.
For Las Vegas, this means highs in the mid to upper 70s. Another
notable impact will be wind. Southwesterly winds increase across the
Mojave Desert Monday through Thursday, where there is a 30 to 60
percent probability of wind gusts greater than 40 mph each day for
most locations. Probabilities of gusts exceeding 40 mph are in the
70 to 90 percent range in western San Bernardino County including
Barstow. Precipitation cannot be ruled out as a series of shortwaves
move along this pattern, but confidence in any meaningful totals
remains low at this time. The greatest potential appears to be
Tuesday through Thursday along high terrain in southern Nevada,
northwestern Arizona, and the eastern Sierra in California. Models
show a significant moisture plume moving into central and southern
Arizona between Tuesday and Friday, but it will remain too far to
the south for the shortwaves to tap into it.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...
Southerly to southwesterly breezes anticipated throughout the TAF
period, strongest from late morning through sunset when gusts 18-25
knots are likely (80%). Winds subside in the evening and resume late
in the morning Sunday. Periods of high clouds expected at or above
20kft.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Light winds this morning
give way to breezy southerly/westerly winds in the afternoon. Gusts
15-25 knots are likely (70%) across the Mojave Desert and
southeastern Great Basin. Lighter winds anticipated in the
southwestern Great Basin. Winds subside after sunset, becoming light
overnight. Similar conditions expected Sunday. Periods of SCT-BKN
high clouds at or above 20kft.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           SAT, MAR 28  SUN, MAR 29  MON, MAR 30  TUE, MAR 31
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)  Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     91(2015)*    89(2015)*    90(2015)*    91(1966)
Bishop        85(2015)*    84(2015)*    85(2015)     87(1966)
Needles       97(2015)*    95(2015)*    98(2015)     97(2018)
Daggett       92(2015)*    91(2015)*    92(2015)     91(2011)
Kingman       85(2015)*    86(1934)*    87(2004)     88(1934)
Desert Rock   85(2015)*    85(2015)*    86(2015)     84(2015)
Death Valley  99(2015)*    102(2015)*   101(2015)    103(2015)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      SAT, MAR 28  SUN, MAR 29  MON, MAR 30  TUE, MAR 31
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)  Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     62(2015)*    62(2015)*    63(2015)*    65(2015)*
Bishop        47(2001)     50(2001)     49(2011)     50(2013)
Needles       66(2025)*    66(1986)*    66(2013)*    69(1893)*
Daggett       58(2015)*    60(2001)*    62(2013)*    63(1969)*
Kingman       55(1929)*    51(1964)*    53(1974)     53(2025)*
Desert Rock   56(2024)*    58(1986)*    59(2010)     54(1986)*
Death Valley  71(2025)*    71(1943)*    77(1978)     72(2011)*

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Meltzer
AVIATION...Woods/CO

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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office