958
FXUS65 KVEF 291854
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1154 AM PDT Wed Jul 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Storm chances continue in eastern Mohave County, but chances
  become spottier in the mid afternoon and end this evening.

* Above-normal temperatures persist, with dangerous and potentially
  record-breaking temperatures beginning Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Tuesday.

Stronger storms are beginning to exit Northern Mohave Co, with short-
term models hinting at smaller, weaker cells popping up in the mid
afternoon. These will still provide the threats of lightning,
localized flooding and strong winds, but not nearly as widespread as
the earlier convection. Dry air takes hold over the region into the
night as the high pressure begins to dominate the weather pattern.
Longer-term modes show this high pressure looks to prevent rain
chances through much of the forecast, but are hinting at another
monsoonal push next Thursday.

The forecast continues to highlight hazardous heat. The building
high pressure will allow for both highs and lows to steadily rise
into the weekend. Temperatures will approach daily and monthly
records through the rest of the week, and especially over the
weekend. The hazardously hot highs and poor overnight cooling will
lead to widespread major to extreme heat risk for the end of the
week and through the weekend. Extreme Heat Warnings go into effect
Thursday morning and persist through Sunday evening, with good
indication that these products will need extensions. Heat Advisories
are in effect for higher mountain zones Thursday through Sunday as
well.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...
South to southwest winds with speeds around 10 knots with gusts
between 15 and 20 knots into the early evening. Sustained speeds
will fall to less than 10 knots after sunset. Light east to
southeast winds will develop by late morning. VFR conditions will
persist through the TAF period with no operationally significant
cloud cover. Temperatures will exceed 100 degrees through 05Z.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...South to southwest winds
across the region with gusts of 15 to 25 knots. Wind gusts will drop
off after sunset, with diurnal directional trends resuming during
the evening hours. The exception to this will be the western Mojave
Desert, including KDAG, where winds will favor a westerly direction
through the TAF period with westerly winds picking up later this
afternoon, continuing through the evening hours. Isolated- to-
scattered convection will continue across northwestern Arizona this
afternoon, with erratic outflow winds, lightning, and localized
heavy rain expected to accompany these storms. Otherwise, VFR
conditions will persist through the TAF period with no operationally
significant cloud cover.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           THU, JUL 30  FRI, JUL 31  SAT, AUG 1   SUN, AUG 2
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     114(1978)*   115(1978)*   116(1979)*   115(1979)*
Bishop        105(2020)*   109(2000)*   108(2020)*   108(2020)*
Needles       120(2020)    121(2020)    121(1993)*   120(1993)*
Daggett       114(2000)    113(2020)*   115(1995)*   117(1986)*
Kingman       110(2020)    112(2020)    106(2020)*   105(1918)*
Desert Rock   109(2000)    109(1996)*   109(1993)*   109(1993)*
Death Valley  127(1995)    125(2020)    127(2017)    126(1993)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      THU, JUL 30  FRI, JUL 31  SAT, AUG 1   SUN, AUG 2
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     89(2019)     88(2020)*    92(2020)*    91(2024)*
Bishop        72(2022)     67(2018)     71(2007)     71(2007)
Needles       94(2019)     94(1925)     95(1969)     92(1980)*
Daggett       86(2016)     85(2018)     84(2000)*    83(2018)*
Kingman       83(1972)     83(1914)     82(1914)*    82(2008)*
Desert Rock   81(2015)     82(2016)     83(2000)     86(2000)
Death Valley  103(2018)    103(2018)    106(1920)    100(2024)*

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Murdock
AVIATION...Czyzyk

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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office